Polemic®

I’ll play with my spreadsheet later before I do a “call,” but I would safe that the safe money is on Begich winning. I’ve played with MN-SEN over and over, and I just can’t get anything that doesn’t have too much error built in.

UPDATE: Can’t do it. I just don’t have enough data at the moment to do it. So no official call using an empirical method, though I will say that I foresee Begich winning.